Thursday, February 22, 2007

Saffron wave: Mahrashtra to Uttar Pradesh Via Punjab and Uttarakhand

Tags: Saffron Maharashtra Mumbai Nagpur Uttar Pradesh UP Punjab Uttarakhand Opinion poll BJP Congress N D Tiwari Khanduri Sonia Rajiv Mahatma Gandhi PM Manmohan Chhattisgarh CM Jharkhand Kumbh Star News TV;

Saffron waves in Mumbai and Nagpur. NDTV has predicted saffron flagging on Punjab Assembly. Opinion poll of Star News and AC-Nielsen sees BJP victory. BJP has sweets in both hands to see wrestling in UP

The Congress will lose the Uttarakhand Assembly elections and the Bharatiya Janata Party will emerge victorious with a thin majority, an opinion poll conducted by a television channel has said.

The poll, conducted by Star News and AC-Nielsen, gave 35 seats for the BJP in the 70-member Assembly, elections for which will be held on February 21. The ruling Congress is predicted to win only 23 seats, the poll says, giving four seats each to the Bahujan Samaj Party, Uttarakhand Kranti Dal and others.

The opinion poll was conducted between January 28 and February 9, a press statement issued by the TV channel said, adding that campaigning in the last few days before balloting will be crucial.

As Chhattish Garh voters of Uttarakhand will punish Congress
Mahatma Gandhi said India would be divided on his death body. Majority of the Indians did not want division. But Congress accepted divided India. Last wish of Gandhi was to abolish All India Congress after the division of United India.

But his last wish could not be fulfilled by power hungry Congress. Present CM of Uttarakhand had been CM of UP. At that time he said Uttarkhand would be formed on his death body. Though, Uttakhand people wanted new separate state for them. In BJP tenure Uttarkhan was created along with Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh. It is unfortunate that in Uttarakhand and Chhattish Garh Congress won the assembly election. But soon people of Chhattish Garh realized their mistake and punish the Congress in the previous assembly election. Now Uttakhand is going to punish the Congress in Uttarakhand assembly election on Feb 21.

Bhagambhag of Sonia Gandhi and Manmohan Singh
Promising a series of sops for Uttarakhand, including aid for the Kumbh Mela and setting up of industrial parks, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh on Saturday made an emotional appeal to people to return the ruling Congress to power in the state. Both P M Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi have gone completely silent on projecting a chief ministerial candidate. A rather unusual step for a party is to thrive on personalities and sustains itself around individuals.

N D Tivari a nervous old horse
N.D. Tiwari, the man could have been Prime Minister after Rajiv Gandhi’s death if only he understood how the politics in the plains had changed post mandal. Octogenerian N.D. Tiwari has made it clear he is no up to electoral politics anymore and wants out and there in lies the Congress Dilemma.

N D Tiwari along with Congress could not accept to do the work under the premiership of Narshinhma Rao. Both wanted to be PM after Rajiv Gandhi. So the left Indian national Congress and formed a new Congress. Later both return their original Congress and bowed before Italian lady. There is rivalry between N D Tiwari and Harish Rawat. So Congress could not declare its possible candidate for CM post.

Khanduri a new hope for Uttarakhand
BJP front runner for the Chief Ministerial seat in Uttarakhand is B.C. Khanduri, a retired army major. Khanduri distinguished himself during the Vajpayee NDA reign as the Surface Transport Minister responsible for getting the National Highway Projects off the ground.

Khanduri, a retired major general, has no connection with the RSS or any of its fronts that have spawned and nurtured most BJP leaders. His only “link” with politics, if it can be so described, was that he is the nephew of Congress stalwart Hemvati Nandan Bahuguna. But the family lineage didn’t draw the soldier to the grand old party.

Khanduri is just one of the army of professionals who have joined the BJP since its rise in the ’90s, carving niches for themselves by virtue of their professional, educational and social skills. “Khanduri is a good example of how a novice to the political system and administration turned the apparent disadvantage to his advantage,” says Pratap Bhanu Mehta, a political scientist.

Last couple of elections reflects political history of the Uttarakhand. The battle royale is essentially between the Congress and the BJP with the mandalite Samajwadi Party, SP and the Dalit Bahujan Samaj Party, BSP on the sidelines playing a marginal role. In the 2002 state assembly elections both the BJP and the Congress had a quarter of the vote share with the BSP distant 3rd at 11% and the SP a marginal 6%. If you look at the election campaign so far in Uttarakhand a lot of talk from the congress on development, employment but hardly any talk of social justice or equity of minorities. Employment seems to be the major issue with more than 4.5 lakh unemployed youth.

By Premendra Agrawal
www.newsanalysisindia.com/

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